Algeria vs DR Congo Prediction: AFCON Quarter-final Match Preview

The AFCON 2025 quarter-final between Algeria and DR Congo is shaping up as a tactical battle between control and physical disruption. Algeria arrive as favourites thanks to their structured build-up and attacking quality, while DR Congo rely on intensity, transitions and individual moments. This Algeria vs DR Congo prediction focuses on team form, key players and betting markets relevant for Kenyan bettors.

Team form and key performers

Algeria have looked composed throughout the tournament, controlling possession and limiting opponents to low-quality chances. Their attacking output has been driven by Riyad Mahrez, who has already scored 3 goals at AFCON 2025 and remains their main creative outlet in the final third. Mahrez’s ability to cut inside, draw fouls and deliver set pieces gives Algeria a constant edge in tight games.

DR Congo have taken a different path. They have played with lower possession but higher physical output, relying on fast counters and second balls. Gaël Kakuta has been their standout performer, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist so far. His vision and passing between the lines are crucial when DR Congo transition from defence to attack.

Tactical matchup and head-to-head outlook

This quarter-final is likely to be decided by midfield control. Algeria will aim to slow the tempo, recycle possession and force DR Congo into a deep defensive block. Players like Mahrez and Bennacer will try to stretch the defence and create overloads on the flanks.

DR Congo, meanwhile, will focus on compact lines and quick vertical attacks. Their best chances are expected to come from turnovers, long balls into space and set-piece situations. If they fail to disrupt Algeria’s rhythm early, the pressure could build quickly.

Algeria vs DR Congo odds and betting markets

Bookmakers currently position Algeria as clear favourites. The key odds for this match are as follows:

• Full-time result: Algeria – 2.06 | Draw – 3.02 | DR Congo – 4.07
• To qualify: Algeria – 1.50 | DR Congo – 2.50
• Under 2.5 goals: 1.51
• Over 2.5 goals: 2.51

The odds reflect expectations of a controlled and relatively low-scoring contest. Algeria’s ability to manage matches makes Algeria to qualify and Under 2.5 goals the most popular betting angles. Over 2.5 goals carries higher risk unless DR Congo score first and open the game.

Algeria vs DR Congo prediction

Algeria’s structure, experience and attacking leaders give them a clear advantage in this matchup. DR Congo are capable of making the game uncomfortable, but sustaining that intensity for 90 minutes will be difficult if Algeria control midfield possession.

Prediction: Algeria to qualify, with a narrow win. A 1–0 or 2–0 scoreline fits the tactical profile, with Mahrez likely to be involved in the decisive moment.

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