AFCON Final Spotlight: Senegal vs Morocco Prediction and Best Odds

The AFCON final is set for 18 January 2026. Senegal face hosts Morocco with the trophy on the line. This Senegal vs Morocco prediction focuses on form, key players, and value markets.

Both teams earned their place the hard way. Senegal edged past Mali and then Egypt by one-goal margins. Morocco beat Cameroon, then survived Nigeria on penalties in Rabat.

Route to the final

Senegal reached the last four after a tight quarter-final win over Mali in Tangier. Iliman Ndiaye scored the only goal of that match. The Lions then booked the final with a 1–0 win over Egypt. Sadio Mané struck late to settle the semi-final.

Morocco stayed on track with a 2–0 quarter-final win over Cameroon. They followed it with a tense semi-final against Nigeria. The match ended goalless after extra time. Morocco then won the shoot-out to reach the final.

Team form and matchup notes

Senegal look built for knockout football. They press early, then manage tempo well. Their centre-backs defend the box with discipline. Their wide play creates second-ball chances.

Morocco control games through structure and patience. They defend transitions well at home. They also carry more creators between the lines. That matters in a final that may need one moment.

Key players to watch

Senegal’s main threat remains Sadio Mané. He has been decisive in big moments at this tournament. Nicolas Jackson has added pace and direct running. Habib Diallo offers finishing and link play when space opens.

Morocco’s attacking edge comes from Brahim Díaz and Youssef En-Nesyri. Díaz provides shots from the half-spaces. En-Nesyri attacks crosses and second balls. Achraf Hakimi drives width and delivery from the right.

Goalkeepers can decide finals. Senegal rely on calm distribution and strong command in the air. Morocco have Yassine Bounou, who already delivered in a shoot-out under pressure.

Senegal vs Morocco odds and recommended betting markets

The prices lean toward Morocco, but the margin is not wide. Finals often swing on one goal. That makes draw protection attractive. Low-risk angles also fit this matchup.

Senegal vs Morocco prediction

This final looks tight from the first whistle. Senegal should keep it compact and physical. Morocco should see more of the ball. The clearest edge sits with Morocco’s creators and home comfort.

Pick: Morocco to avoid defeat in 90 minutes. Correct score lean: 0–1 or 1–1. A late deciding moment feels more likely than an open shootout.

Where to place bets on the AFCON final

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