Shabana vs Sofapaka Prediction: Round 17 Preview and Betting Picks

Shabana host Sofapaka on 17 January 2026 in the Kenya Premier League. The table context makes this one-sided on paper, but the market still offers a few angles beyond the straight 1X2.

Shabana sit in the top group, while Sofapaka are stuck near the bottom and need points. Recent results and the head-to-head record suggest Shabana control this matchup more often than not.

Match preview and table context

Shabana are 4th with 24 points after 16 matches. Their season has been built on steady defending and enough goal threat to beat mid-table opponents.

Sofapaka are 17th with 14 points after 16 matches. Goals have been a problem, and the recent run includes several narrow defeats where they struggled to create clear chances.

Recent form

Shabana’s last five league matches: 0–0 vs Gor Mahia, 1–3 vs Nairobi United, 3–1 vs KCB, 0–0 vs Mara Sugar, 2–2 vs Kakamega Homeboyz. The KCB win shows they can finish games, but the draws highlight a tendency to slow down once ahead.

Sofapaka’s last five league matches: 1–1 vs Bidco United, 0–0 vs Kariobangi Sharks, 0–1 vs Mathare Utd, 0–2 vs Tusker, 0–1 vs KCB. This run points to low scoring, with one goal in five games.

Head-to-head notes

The recent H2H trend leans toward Shabana. In the last four meetings: Shabana won 1–0 away, Sofapaka won 1–0 at home, Shabana won 1–0 away, and Shabana won 4–1 at home. That pattern supports a tight match where the first goal matters.

Shabana vs Sofapaka prediction

The matchup profile fits a Shabana edge with controlled tempo. Sofapaka’s recent output is thin, so the most realistic script is Shabana scoring first and protecting the lead. If Sofapaka stay alive late, it is more likely through a low-event game than an open shootout.

Recommended betting markets

Where to place bets on Shabana vs Sofapaka

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